TechDogs-"PROG Holdings Beats Third Quarter 2023 Expectations, Raises Full-Year Financial Outlook"

Financial Technology

PROG Holdings Beats Third Quarter 2023 Expectations, Raises Full-Year Financial Outlook

By Business Wire

Business Wire
Overall Rating
  • Consolidated revenues of $582.9 million
  • Earnings before taxes of $48.1 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $71.7 million, increase of 10.4% year-over-year
  • Diluted EPS of $0.76; Non-GAAP Diluted EPS of $0.90, up 32.4% year-over-year
  • Progressive Leasing write-offs of 6.6%, down from 7.2% in Q3 2022

SALT LAKE CITY--(BUSINESS WIRE)--PROG Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRG), the fintech holding company for Progressive Leasing, Vive Financial, Four Technologies, and Build, today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023.

"PROG Holdings’ third quarter results exceeded expectations once again, as our teams continued to deliver strong portfolio performance alongside disciplined SG&A management," said Steve Michaels, PROG Holdings’ President and CEO. "The active management of our lease portfolio and our customers’ ability to adapt to a higher inflationary environment are the primary catalysts to our strong earnings performance thus far in 2023 and has allowed us to further raise our 2023 full-year outlook. We will continue to manage through what remains a challenging retail environment while maintaining disciplined spending and investing in key strategic areas to facilitate future growth," concluded Michaels.

Consolidated revenues for the third quarter of 2023 were $582.9 million, a decrease of 6.9% from the same period in 2022. This was primarily due to a lower Gross Leased Asset balance entering the quarter, slow retail traffic in key consumer durables, and year-over-year declines in the number of customers utilizing early lease buyout options, partially offset by continuing strong customer payment behavior.

Consolidated net earnings for the quarter were $35.0 million, compared with $16.0 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 10.4% to $71.7 million, or 12.3% of revenues, compared with $65.0 million, or 10.4% of revenues for the same period in 2022. Year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA for the period was driven primarily by continued strong customer payment behavior trends and lower write-offs.

Diluted earnings per share for the third quarter of 2023 were $0.76, compared with $0.32 in the year ago period. On a non-GAAP basis, diluted earnings per share were $0.90 in the third quarter of 2023, compared with $0.68 for the same period in 2022. The Company's weighted average shares outstanding assuming dilution in the third quarter was 8.7% lower year-over-year.

Progressive Leasing Results

Progressive Leasing's third quarter GMV decreased 6.5% to $409.2 million year over year, primarily due to continued demand softness for leasable goods. The provision for lease merchandise write-offs declined to 6.6% of lease revenues in the third quarter of 2023, due to strong customer payment behavior and lower write-offs resulting from the tightening of lease decisioning in mid-2022.

Liquidity and Capital Allocation

PROG Holdings ended the third quarter of 2023 with cash of $294.8 million and gross debt of $600 million. The Company repurchased $36.4 million of its stock in the quarter at an average price of $34.85 per share and has $229.0 million remaining under its previously announced $1 billion share purchase program.

2023 Outlook

The Company is updating its full year 2023 consolidated earnings and revenue outlook due to higher-than-expected performance in the third quarter and increased expectations for fourth quarter results. This outlook, which also provides ranges for select Q4 metrics, assumes continued soft demand for consumer durable goods, no material changes in the Company's decisioning posture or portfolio performance, and no impact from additional share purchases.

Full Year 2023

Revised Outlook

Previously Revised Outlook

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Low

High

Low

High

PROG Holdings - Total Revenues

$

2,380,000

$

2,400,000

$

2,360,000

$

2,390,000

PROG Holdings - Net Earnings

144,500

146,500

125,500

133,000

PROG Holdings - Adjusted EBITDA

295,000

300,000

270,000

280,000

PROG Holdings - Diluted EPS

3.06

3.16

2.64

2.80

PROG Holdings - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS

3.55

3.65

3.10

3.25

Progressive Leasing - Total Revenues

2,313,000

2,331,000

2,295,000

2,320,000

Progressive Leasing - Earnings Before Taxes

225,000

226,000

197,500

204,000

Progressive Leasing - Adjusted EBITDA

305,500

308,500

279,000

285,500

Vive - Total Revenues

67,000

69,000

65,000

70,000

Vive - Earnings Before Taxes

3,500

4,500

4,000

5,000

Vive - Adjusted EBITDA

6,500

7,500

7,000

8,500

Other - Loss Before Taxes

(25,000

)

(24,000

)

(24,000

)

(22,000

)

Other - Adjusted EBITDA

(17,000

)

(16,000

)

(16,000

)

(14,000

)

Three Months Ended December 31, 2023 Outlook

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Low

High

PROG Holdings - Total Revenues

$

549,137

$

569,137

PROG Holdings - Net Earnings

24,237

26,237

PROG Holdings - Adjusted EBITDA

58,283

63,283

PROG Holdings - Diluted EPS

0.50

0.60

PROG Holdings - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS

0.61

0.71

Conference Call and Webcast

The Company has scheduled a live webcast and conference call for Wednesday, October 25th, 2023, at 8:30 A.M. ET to discuss its financial results for the third quarter of 2023. To access the live webcast, visit the Events and Presentations page of the Company’s Investor Relations website, https://investor.progholdings.com/.

About PROG Holdings, Inc.

PROG Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PRG) is a fintech holding company headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT, that provides transparent and competitive payment options to consumers. The Company owns Progressive Leasing, a leading provider of e-commerce, app-based, and in-store point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions, Vive Financial, an omnichannel provider of second-look revolving credit products, Four Technologies, a provider of Buy Now, Pay Later payment options through its platform, Four, and Build, provider of personal credit building products. More information on PROG Holdings and its companies can be found at https://investor.progholdings.com/.

Forward Looking Statements:

Statements in this news release regarding our business that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, such as "will", "continue", "outlook", "assumes" and similar forward-looking terminology. These risks and uncertainties include factors such as (i) continued volatility and challenges in the macro environment and, in particular, the unfavorable effects on our business of significant inflation, high interest rates, and fears of a recession, and the impact of those headwinds on: (a) consumer confidence and customer demand for the merchandise that our POS partners sell, in particular consumer durables; (b) our customers’ disposable income and their ability to make the lease and loan payments they owe the company; (c) the availability of consumer credit; (d) our labor costs; and (e) our overall financial performance and outlook; (ii) our businesses being subject to extensive laws and regulations, including laws and regulations unique to the industries in which our businesses operate, that may subject them to government investigations and significant monetary penalties and compliance-related burdens, as well as an increased focus by federal, state and local regulators on the industries within which our businesses operate, including with respect to consumer protection, customer privacy, third party and employee fraud and information security; (iii) deteriorating macroeconomic conditions resulting in the algorithms and other proprietary decisioning tools used in approving Progressive Leasing and Vive customers for leases and loans no longer being indicative of their ability to perform, which may limit the ability of those businesses to avoid lease and loan charge-offs or may result in their reserves being insufficient to cover actual losses; (iv) the impact of the recent cybersecurity incident experienced by Progressive Leasing and expenses incurred in connection with responding to the matter, including the nature and scope of any claims, litigation or regulatory proceedings resulting from the incident; (v) a large percentage of the company’s revenues being concentrated with several of Progressive Leasing’s key POS partners; (vi) the risks that Progressive Leasing will be unable to attract new POS partners or retain and grow its business with its existing POS partners; (vii) Vive’s and Four’s business models differing significantly from Progressive Leasing’s, which creates specific and unique risks for the Vive and Four businesses, including Vive’s reliance on bank partners to issue its credit products and Vive’s and Four’s exposure to the unique regulatory risks associated with the laws and regulations that apply to their businesses; (viii) the risks that interruptions, inventory shortages and other factors affecting the supply chains of our retail partners having a material and adverse effect on several aspects of our performance; (ix) the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including new variants, sub-variants or additional waves of COVID-19 infections, on: (a) demand for the lease-to-own products offered by our Progressive Leasing segment, (b) Progressive Leasing’s point-of-sale or "POS" partners, and Vive’s and Four’s merchant partners, (c) Progressive Leasing’s, Vive’s and Four’s customers, including their ability and willingness to satisfy their obligations under their lease agreements and loan agreements, (d) Progressive Leasing’s POS partners being able to obtain the merchandise their customers need or desire, (e) our employees and labor needs, including our ability to adequately staff our operations, (f) our financial and operational performance, and (g) our liquidity; (x) changes in the enforcement of existing laws and regulations and the adoption of new laws and regulations that may unfavorably impact our businesses; (xi) the risk that our capital allocation strategy, including our current share repurchase program, will not be effective at enhancing shareholder value; (xii) our cost reduction initiatives may not be adequate or may have unintended consequences that could be disruptive to our businesses; (xiii) the loss of the services of our key executives or our inability to attract and retain key talent, particularly with respect to our information technology function, may have a material adverse impact on our operations; (xiv) increased competition from traditional and virtual lease-to-own competitors and also from competitors of our Vive segment; (xv) adverse consequences to Progressive Leasing, including additional monetary penalties and/or injunctive relief, if it fails to comply with the terms of its 2020 settlement with the FTC, as well as the possibility of other regulatory authorities and third parties bringing legal actions against Progressive Leasing based on the same allegations that led to the FTC settlement; (xvi) our increased level of indebtedness; (xvii) our ability to continue to protect confidential, proprietary, or sensitive information, including the personal and confidential information of our customers, which may be adversely affected by cyber-attacks, employee or other internal misconduct, computer viruses, electronic break-ins or "hacking", or similar disruptions, any one of which could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations, financial condition, and prospects; and (xviii) the other risks and uncertainties discussed under "Risk Factors" in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, filed with the SEC on February 22, 2023. Statements in this press release that are "forward-looking" include without limitation statements about: (i) our ability to continue to manage through a challenging retail environment while maintaining disciplined spending and investing in key strategic areas to facilitate future growth and (ii) our revised outlooks for our fourth quarter and full year 2023. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release. Except as required by law, the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances after the date of this press release.

PROG Holdings, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Earnings

(In thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

September 30,

2023

2022

2023

2022

REVENUES:

Lease Revenues and Fees

$

564,183

$

606,585

$

1,776,104

$

1,930,843

Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable

18,694

19,236

54,759

54,886

582,877

625,821

1,830,863

1,985,729

COSTS AND EXPENSES:

Depreciation of Lease Merchandise

381,844

422,589

1,202,157

1,358,713

Provision for Lease Merchandise Write-offs

36,966

43,537

116,295

155,655

Operating Expenses

109,183

112,733

322,152

337,997

Impairment of Goodwill

10,151

10,151

527,993

589,010

1,640,604

1,862,516

OPERATING PROFIT

54,884

36,811

190,259

123,213

Interest Expense, Net

(6,775

)

(9,463

)

(22,549

)

(28,700

)

EARNINGS BEFORE INCOME TAX EXPENSE

48,109

27,348

167,710

94,513

INCOME TAX EXPENSE

13,097

11,343

47,447

31,889

NET EARNINGS

$

35,012

$

16,005

$

120,263

$

62,624

EARNINGS PER SHARE

Basic

$

0.77

$

0.32

$

2.58

$

1.18

Assuming Dilution

$

0.76

$

0.32

$

2.56

$

1.18

WEIGHTED AVERAGE SHARES OUTSTANDING:

Basic

45,515

50,461

46,606

52,896

Assuming Dilution

46,133

50,547

47,048

53,053

PROG Holdings, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(In thousands, except share data)

(Unaudited)

September 30,
2023

December 31,
2022

ASSETS:

Cash and Cash Equivalents

$

294,786

$

131,880

Accounts Receivable (net of allowances of $68,035 in 2023 and $69,264 in 2022)

55,799

64,521

Lease Merchandise (net of accumulated depreciation and allowances of $451,923 in 2023 and $467,355 in 2022)

521,226

648,043

Loans Receivable (net of allowances and unamortized fees of $49,754 in 2023 and $53,635 in 2022)

119,929

130,966

Property and Equipment, Net

23,926

23,852

Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets

9,932

11,875

Goodwill

296,061

296,061

Other Intangibles, Net

97,314

114,411

Income Tax Receivable

20,764

18,864

Deferred Income Tax Assets

2,851

2,955

Prepaid Expenses and Other Assets

46,569

48,481

Total Assets

$

1,489,157

$

1,491,909

LIABILITIES & SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY:

Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses

$

146,535

$

135,025

Deferred Income Tax Liabilities

104,820

137,261

Customer Deposits and Advance Payments

30,611

37,074

Operating Lease Liabilities

17,114

21,122

Debt

591,940

590,966

Total Liabilities

891,020

921,448

SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY:

Common Stock, Par Value $0.50 Per Share: Authorized: 225,000,000 Shares at September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022; Shares Issued: 82,078,654 at September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022

41,039

41,039

Additional Paid-in Capital

347,806

338,814

Retained Earnings

1,274,498

1,154,235

1,663,343

1,534,088

Less: Treasury Shares at Cost

Common Stock: 37,356,392 Shares at September 30, 2023 and 34,044,102 at December 31, 2022

(1,065,206

)

(963,627

)

Total Shareholders’ Equity

598,137

570,461

Total Liabilities & Shareholders’ Equity

$

1,489,157

$

1,491,909

PROG Holdings, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

2023

2022

OPERATING ACTIVITIES:

Net Earnings

$

120,263

$

62,624

Adjustments to Reconcile Net Earnings to Cash Provided by Operating Activities:

Depreciation of Lease Merchandise

1,202,157

1,358,713

Other Depreciation and Amortization

23,876

25,446

Provisions for Accounts Receivable and Loan Losses

253,217

318,314

Stock-Based Compensation

19,081

13,930

Deferred Income Taxes

(32,337

)

(5,748

)

Impairment of Goodwill

10,151

Non-Cash Lease Expense

(2,065

)

838

Other Changes, Net

(4,397

)

(5,785

)

Changes in Operating Assets and Liabilities:

Additions to Lease Merchandise

(1,195,051

)

(1,369,388

)

Book Value of Lease Merchandise Sold or Disposed

119,711

158,582

Accounts Receivable

(216,469

)

(280,096

)

Prepaid Expenses and Other Assets

2,304

(1,077

)

Income Tax Receivable and Payable

(21

)

3,411

Operating Lease Right-of-Use Assets and Liabilities

1,133

Accounts Payable and Accrued Expenses

8,735

3,220

Customer Deposits and Advance Payments

(6,463

)

(11,118

)

Cash Provided by Operating Activities

292,541

283,150

INVESTING ACTIVITIES:

Investments in Loans Receivable

(138,922

)

(147,711

)

Proceeds from Loans Receivable

127,079

115,226

Outflows on Purchases of Property and Equipment

(6,952

)

(7,488

)

Proceeds from Property and Equipment

30

18

Proceeds from Acquisitions of Businesses

6

Cash Used in Investing Activities

(18,765

)

(39,949

)

FINANCING ACTIVITIES:

Acquisition of Treasury Stock

(108,276

)

(187,361

)

Tender Offer Shares Repurchased and Retired

(274

)

Issuance of Stock Under Stock Option Plans

695

663

Shares Withheld for Tax Payments

(3,260

)

(2,902

)

Debt Issuance Costs

(29

)

(1,600

)

Cash Used in Financing Activities

(110,870

)

(191,474

)

Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents

162,906

51,727

Cash and Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Period

131,880

170,159

Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period

$

294,786

$

221,886

Net Cash Paid During the Period:

Interest

$

18,768

$

17,306

Income Taxes

$

76,817

$

31,087

PROG Holdings, Inc.

Quarterly Revenues by Segment

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

Three Months Ended

September 30, 2023

Progressive Leasing

Vive

Other

Consolidated Total

Lease Revenues and Fees

$

564,183

$

$

$

564,183

Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable

17,547

1,147

18,694

Total Revenues

$

564,183

$

17,547

$

1,147

$

582,877

(Unaudited)

Three Months Ended

September 30, 2022

Progressive Leasing

Vive

Other

Consolidated Total

Lease Revenues and Fees

$

606,585

$

$

$

606,585

Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable

18,392

844

19,236

Total Revenues

$

606,585

$

18,392

$

844

$

625,821

PROG Holdings, Inc.

Nine Months Revenues by Segment

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30, 2023

Progressive Leasing

Vive

Other

Consolidated Total

Lease Revenues and Fees

$

1,776,104

$

$

$

1,776,104

Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable

51,887

2,872

54,759

Total Revenues

$

1,776,104

$

51,887

$

2,872

$

1,830,863

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30, 2022

Progressive Leasing

Vive

Other

Consolidated Total

Lease Revenues and Fees

$

1,930,843

$

$

$

1,930,843

Interest and Fees on Loans Receivable

53,026

1,860

54,886

Total Revenues

$

1,930,843

$

53,026

$

1,860

$

1,985,729

PROG Holdings, Inc.

Gross Merchandise Volume by Quarter

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

Three Months Ended September 30,

2023

2022

Progressive Leasing

$

409,169

$

437,417

Vive

35,243

47,967

Other

19,632

15,786

Total GMV

$

464,044

$

501,170

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information:

Non-GAAP net earnings, non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, and adjusted EBITDA are supplemental measures of our performance that are not calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States ("GAAP"). Non-GAAP net earnings and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, full year 2023 revised outlook and fourth quarter 2023 outlook exclude intangible amortization expense, restructuring expenses, costs related to the cybersecurity incident, regulatory insurance recoveries, and accrued interest on an uncertain tax position related to Progressive Leasing's $175 million settlement with the FTC in 2020. Non-GAAP net earnings and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 exclude intangible amortization expense, restructuring expenses, impairment of goodwill and accrued interest on an uncertain tax position related to Progressive Leasing's $175 million settlement with the FTC in 2020. The amount for the after-tax non-GAAP adjustment, which is tax effected using our statutory tax rate, can be found in the reconciliation of net earnings and earnings per share assuming dilution to non-GAAP net earnings and earnings per share assuming dilution table in this press release.

The Adjusted EBITDA figures presented in this press release are calculated as the Company’s earnings before interest expense, net, depreciation on property and equipment, amortization of intangible assets and income taxes. Adjusted EBITDA for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, full year 2023 revised outlook and fourth quarter 2023 outlook exclude stock-based compensation expense, restructuring expenses, costs related to the cybersecurity incident and regulatory insurance recoveries. Adjusted EBITDA for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022 exclude stock-based compensation expense, restructuring expenses and impairment of goodwill. The amounts for these pre-tax non-GAAP adjustments can be found in the three and nine months ended segment EBITDA tables in this press release.

Management believes that non-GAAP net earnings, non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, and adjusted EBITDA provide relevant and useful information, and are widely used by analysts, investors and competitors in our industry as well as by our management in assessing both consolidated and business unit performance.

Non-GAAP net earnings, non-GAAP diluted earnings, and adjusted EBITDA provide management and investors with an understanding of the results from the primary operations of our business by excluding the effects of certain items that generally arose from larger, one-time transactions that are not reflective of the ordinary earnings activity of our operations or transactions that have variability and volatility of the amount. We believe the exclusion of stock-based compensation expense provides for a better comparison of our operating results with our peer companies as the calculations of stock-based compensation vary from period to period and company to company due to different valuation methodologies, subjective assumptions and the variety of award types. This measure may be useful to an investor in evaluating the underlying operating performance of our business.

Adjusted EBITDA also provides management and investors with an understanding of one aspect of earnings before the impact of investing and financing charges and income taxes. These measures may be useful to an investor in evaluating our operating performance because the measures:

  • Are widely used by investors to measure a company’s operating performance without regard to items excluded from the calculation of such measure, which can vary substantially from company to company depending upon accounting methods, book value of assets, capital structure and the method by which assets were acquired, among other factors.
Contacts

Investor Contact
John Baugh, CFA
Vice President, Investor Relations
john.baugh@progleasing.com

Media Contact
Mark Delcorps
Director, Corporate Communications
media@progholdings.com

Read full story here

First published on Wed, Oct 25, 2023

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